Mjallby AIF vs Vasteras SK FK: resultado, alineaciones y análisis — Allsvenskan

AllsvenskanFinalizado
Mjallby AIF
Mjallby AIF
0–0
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK

viernes, 17 de julio de 2026, 5:00 p.m. UTC

🏟 Strandvallen · Hallevik

🏁 Análisis post-partido

Mjallby AIF y Vasteras SK FK empataron sin goles, ya que ninguno de los dos equipos pudo romper el cero. El resultado terminó sin anotaciones pese a que el pronóstico previo al partido apuntaba a una victoria local por la mínima.

Expectativa:El empate no coincidió con el pronóstico previo ni con las cuotas, que señalaban a Mjallby como favorito. Fue un resultado inesperado, aunque no una gran sorpresa, considerando el mejor momento reciente de Vasteras y la inconsistente forma de Mjallby.

El punto prolonga la tendencia de empates de Mjallby y deja sin aprovechar su ventaja de local. Vasteras evita la derrota y mantiene su posición por encima de Mjallby en una cerrada lucha de media tabla.

Basado en el marcador final y el análisis previo (sin eventos del partido).

📋 Resumen

Confianza 2/5

Mjallby retain the clearer home attacking edge, but their suspensions, defensive absences and uneven start make a narrow home win with goals more credible than a routine result.

Mjallby are 10th on 16 points after 12 matches, two points behind eighth-placed Vasteras, so this is a direct contest in a crowded middle section rather than a mismatch. Vasteras arrive with stronger recent results, while Mjallby have drawn four of their last five league matches and face a depleted squad. The market still makes Mjallby the favourite at a 51.2% implied home-win probability, largely supported by their far greater shot volume.

🔑 Puntos clave

  • Home pressure versus away momentum

    Mjallby average 22.5 shots to Vasteras's 8, a major territorial and chance-volume advantage. Vasteras have taken 10 points from their last five listed results, however, while Mjallby are on a LDDDL league sequence.

  • Mjallby are short at the back

    T. Pettersson is out and reports also suggest Wallinder has a potentially serious ankle problem after leaving the Copenhagen match. Three unnamed Mjallby players are reportedly suspended, which could further weaken a side already short of defensive continuity.

  • Both teams use 3-4-3

    A. Torstensson and T. Askebrand have used 3-4-3 in 100% of recorded matches. The wing-back zones and the ability of each outside centre-back to handle wide transitions should shape the match.

  • Goals market expects an open game

    The market prices over 2.5 goals at 57% and BTTS Yes at 58%. That is consistent with Mjallby's high shot count and Vasteras's nine goals across their last three matches, though Mjallby's recent underperformance prevents a stronger attacking call.

⚖️ Pros y contras de cada equipo

Mjallby AIF
✅ A favor
  • +Mjallby's 22.5 shots per match dwarf Vasteras's 8, which points to a strong ability to sustain pressure at home and supports the market's 51.2% home-win expectation.
  • +Their 3-4-3 can create wide overloads against Vasteras's matching 3-4-3, especially if Mjallby force the visitors' wing-backs deep and keep attacks in the final third.
  • +Vasteras average only one corner in the supplied advanced data against Mjallby's four, suggesting Mjallby are more likely to build repeated attacks and set-piece pressure.
  • +The 57% over-2.5 and 58% BTTS market readings fit a Mjallby side that can create volume, while Vasteras's recent defensive concessions leave room for the home side to score more than once.
⚠️ Riesgos
  • Mjallby have only 16 points from 12 matches and a LDDDL league sequence; reports that they have not matched last season's level reinforce the concern that their shot volume has not produced enough control or finishing.
  • T. Pettersson is out, Wallinder is reportedly carrying a potentially serious ankle injury, and three further players are reportedly suspended. That could disrupt the back three and make Vasteras's recent transition threat more dangerous.
  • A. Iqbal, J. Kjaer and E. Stroud are also unavailable, reducing options across the squad at a time when Mjallby need fresh legs to maintain their pressing game.
  • Vasteras have scored nine goals in their last three listed matches, so Mjallby cannot rely on a clean-sheet route even if they dominate possession.
Vasteras SK FK
✅ A favor
  • +Vasteras are eighth on 18 points and enter on a WWLWD league run, which gives them better current momentum than Mjallby's LDDDL sequence.
  • +Their nine goals across the last three listed matches suggest they can punish defensive mistakes, an important factor against a Mjallby team with confirmed absences and reported suspension issues.
  • +T. Askebrand has been at the club since November 2019 and has 17 years of management across five clubs. That settled leadership may help Vasteras prepare a compact, transition-focused plan against a higher-volume home attack.
  • +Mjallby's selection uncertainty may offer Vasteras direct routes into the channels and set-piece mismatches, even if the visitors create less overall pressure.
⚠️ Riesgos
  • Vasteras average only eight shots and one corner in the supplied advanced data, far below Mjallby's 22.5 shots and four corners. They may struggle to create enough repeat attacks if Mjallby establish territorial control.
  • F. Nsabiyumva is out, removing a defensive option against a home side that generates heavy shot volume and likely attacks the wing-back channels.
  • A. Boudah and J. Ring are unavailable, with reports linking Ring's absence to his transfer to Greece. That reduces attacking depth and makes the visitors less certain to convert counterattacks.
  • The market makes Vasteras only a 22.8% implied away winner, and their negative goal difference despite being eighth suggests their recent results should not be read as proof of sustained superiority.

📐 Análisis táctico

Mjallby should try to establish the higher line of pressure and use their 3-4-3 to keep Vasteras pinned through the wide channels. Their 22.5-shot average suggests sustained attacks rather than a purely reactive approach, but missing defenders may make aggressive wing-back positioning dangerous after turnovers. Vasteras can accept periods without the ball, then target the spaces behind Mjallby's wing-backs and a reshuffled back three. With both sides in the same nominal shape, the more effective midfield press and second-ball work will decide whether Mjallby turn possession into clean chances.

📊 Expectativa del mercado (1X2)

Calor del mercado 🔥🔥🔥
Mjallby AIF1.85 · 51%
X3.65 · 26%
Vasteras SK FK3.90 · 24%
Más/Menos 2.5 goles
Más de 2.559%
Menos de 2.541%
Ambos marcan
59%
No41%

Movimiento de cuotas ±3pts

Lectura de mercado:The market view is home 51.2%, draw 26.0% and away 22.8%, so it sees Mjallby as favourites but gives Vasteras a substantial chance of avoiding defeat. Over 2.5 goals at 57% and BTTS Yes at 58% point toward a match with chances at both ends. Raw recent form needs opponent-strength context, but Vasteras's WWLWD sequence and Mjallby's LDDDL run justify treating the home price with caution. No Poisson projection was supplied, so there is no model-versus-market comparison to make.

Probabilidad implícita (sin margen) · solo análisis, no es consejo de apuestas.

🎓 Entrenadores / Formaciones

Mjallby AIF· 12º · 20Pts
3-4-387% uso
👔 M. Lantz
Al mando desde 2020
Experiencia: 10y · 2 clubs
Ex-clubes: Orgryte IS
V-E-D: 5-5-6
Vasteras SK FK· 8º · 29Pts
3-4-3100% uso
👔 P. Markstedt
Al mando desde 2019
Experiencia: 7y · 1 clubs
V-E-D: 3-3-4

Entrenadores y duelo táctico:A. Torstensson, 59, has managed for 14 years and has led Mjallby since January 2023; his team profiles as the more proactive side here because of the 22.5-shot average and fixed 3-4-3 structure. T. Askebrand, 57, has 17 years of management experience with previous spells at Örgryte, Öster and GAIS, and his Vasteras side may be more pragmatic despite using the same 3-4-3, given its eight-shot average. Torstensson's 4-3-3 season record is not relevant because the supplied team formation is 3-4-3 throughout; his current record is 4-3-3. The decisive tactical issue is whether Mjallby's wing-backs can attack without leaving an undermanned defensive unit exposed to Vasteras breaks.

🔬 Datos avanzados (promedios)

Mjallby AIF
8 / 9 partidos
Vasteras SK FK
1.66
xG
1.73
4.4
Córners
3.2
52%
Posesión
47%
12.6
Remates
10

Promedios por partido en la competición · FootyStats / API-Football

🚩 Córners y mercados especiales

Mjallby's supplied average of four corners versus Vasteras's one supports a home-corner lean in match pattern terms. Their greater shot volume should produce more blocked crosses and pressure around the visiting box, while Vasteras are more likely to seek isolated transition opportunities than long corner sequences. The same setup supports BTTS more than a low-event clean-sheet game, although Mjallby's defensive absences are a larger reason for that than Vasteras's corner output.

Factores X

  • Mjallby's three reported suspensions are unnamed, making the final team sheet unusually important.
  • Wallinder's reported ankle issue could add to Mjallby's defensive selection problems if he is unavailable.
  • J. Ring's absence follows reports of a move to a Greek club, reducing Vasteras's options in wide attacking areas.

A vigilar

  • Whether Mjallby can convert their large shot-volume edge into early goals rather than another low-margin draw.
  • The personnel selected in Mjallby's back three after Pettersson's absence, Wallinder's reported injury and the suspension reports.
  • Vasteras's ability to release runners quickly into the spaces left by Mjallby's wing-backs.

📈 Forma reciente

Mjallby AIFDLLLWL
  • 2026-09-11 · (A) 1–1 vs BK Hacken
  • 2026-09-07 · (H) 1–4 vs IFK Goteborg
  • 2026-09-03 · (H) 0–2 vs Djurgardens IF
  • 2026-08-31 · (A) 0–4 vs Djurgardens IF
  • 2026-08-15 · (H) 4–3 vs Sirius
Vasteras SK FKWLWDLW
  • 2026-09-12 · (A) 4–1 vs AIK Stockholm
  • 2026-09-05 · (H) 0–1 vs Sirius
  • 2026-08-29 · (A) 3–1 vs BK Hacken
  • 2026-08-23 · (H) 0–0 vs Kalmar FF
  • 2026-08-14 · (A) 0–3 vs IF Elfsborg

🆚 Cara a cara

🧑‍⚖️ Árbitro

Richard Sundell, Sweden

3.3
Tarjetas/partido
2.14
Goles/partido
57%
Ambos marcan

Promedios del árbitro en esta competición · 7 partidos · PK Sport

✅ Alineaciones oficiales · Mjallby AIF [3-4-3]

API-Football · 17 jul 2026, 5:13 p.m. UTC

  1. 13Robin Wallinder
  2. 4Axel Norén
  3. 2Ludvig Svanberg
  4. 33Tony Miettinen
  5. 25Max Nielsen
  6. 7Viktor Gustafson
  7. 22Jesper Gustavsson
  8. 17Elliot Stroud
  9. 29Olle Lindberg
  10. 19Abdoulie Manneh
  11. 23Áki Samuelsen

✅ Alineaciones oficiales · Vasteras SK FK [3-4-3]

API-Football · 17 jul 2026, 5:14 p.m. UTC

  1. 34Elis Jäger
  2. 2Herman Magnusson
  3. 4Philip Bonde
  4. 28Madiou Keita
  5. 11Simon Gefvert
  6. 8Mamadou Diagne
  7. 14Ismet Lushaku
  8. 3Marcus Baggesen
  9. 5Karl Gunnarsson
  10. 16Bonaventure Lendambi
  11. 17Taonsa Axel

🚑 Lesiones / Bajas

Mjallby AIF
  • outA. Iqbal· squad player

    His absence reduces Mjallby's midfield or attacking rotation in a match where they need depth to sustain pressure.

  • outJ. Kjaer· squad player

    His absence narrows Mjallby's selection options amid wider availability concerns.

  • outT. Pettersson· experienced centre-back and defensive organiser

    His absence weakens Mjallby's back-three depth and can make defensive transitions and set-piece marking less secure.

Vasteras SK FK
  • outA. Boudah· forward option

    His absence reduces Vasteras's attacking depth and available counterattacking choices.

  • outM. Ladefoged· squad player

    His absence narrows Vasteras's options for changing the match from the bench or covering injuries.

  • outF. Nsabiyumva· centre-back and defensive option

    His absence reduces defensive depth against Mjallby's high shot volume and wide pressure.

  • outJ. Ring· wide attacking midfielder or winger

    His absence removes a wide creative and transition outlet, especially relevant against Mjallby's aggressive wing-backs.

⚡ Intel clave: factores a favor y en contra

Mjallby AIF
  • − En contraEl defensor Wallinder sufrió una lesión en el tobillo/pie durante el partido en Copenhague y tuvo que salir; todavía debe someterse a estudios, por lo que su posible baja debilitaría la solidez defensiva de 米亚尔比. La situación preocupa aún más después de una racha de 70 partidos consecutivos.
  • − En contraElliot Stroud sigue sin estar disponible tras el Mundial y no ha jugado con 米亚尔比 desde su regreso, mientras su salida del club parece inminente. Su ausencia le quita al local una pieza ofensiva importante y puede reducir su peligro al contragolpe.
Vasteras SK FK

Curado por IA de todas las noticias recopiladas: solo hechos con impacto probable en el resultado.

📰 Noticias recientes

Solo mostramos información con impacto ≥3★ en el partido.

🧭 Conclusión final integral

This Allsvenskan meeting carries meaningful mid-table stakes: Vasteras are only two points ahead of Mjallby after 12 games, and the visitors arrive with better recent momentum. Mjallby's 22.5 shots per match versus Vasteras's 8 remains the strongest on-field case for the home side, and it supports the market's modest home-favourite view. Yet the home team have four draws in five league matches, have reportedly underperformed relative to last season, and must manage Pettersson's absence, possible Wallinder unavailability and three reported suspensions. Vasteras have enough recent attacking output to exploit that instability, but their low shot average and J. Ring's absence limit the case for an away result. The expected pattern is Mjallby controlling more territory while Vasteras threaten in transition; the final call is a home win and over 2.5 goals.

🎯 Decisión del análisis

Conclusión basada en el contexto de la liga, características de los equipos, forma, táctica, bajas, información del partido, lecciones históricas y referencias de mercado/modelo.

Resultado
Mjallby AIF · Gana local
Total de goles
Más de 2.5
Marcadores previstos
2-13-1

Otros partidos de la jornada

Análisis basado en datos públicos y señales de mercado. Solo con fines de análisis — no es consejo de apuestas.

Datos: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

Compartir