Brasileirão Série B: predictions, table & fixtures

Criciuma vs Sport Recife

🧠 Criciúma look the clearly stronger side at home given their recent form and structural stability; Sport's coaching upheaval, poor run and minimal preparation time make this a match to back the home win assertively rather than cautiously.

Londrina vs CRB

🧠 A closely-matched, goal-active contest where the Poisson model sees more scoring than the market prices, with BTTS and the over 2.5 appearing undervalued relative to both teams' defensive fragility.

Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense

🧠 Novorizontino are the justified market favourite at home against a winless Atlético-GO side, but the match's low-scoring referee profile and Novorizontino's own mid-table fragility cap the expected ceiling on goals and make a tight, functional home win the most probable character.

Goias vs Ceara

🧠 Goiás holds a marginal home advantage per market pricing, but severe data scarcity and poor recent defensive records on both sides make any directional lean fragile.

Nautico Recife vs Juventude

🧠 Juventude arrive as the form side with a disciplined defensive structure that the market has undervalued given Nautico's recent struggles.

Vila Nova vs São Bernardo

🧠 A closely contested, low-to-moderate scoring match where Vila Nova's home fortress and attacking output is partially offset by São Bernardo's superior defensive solidity and a Poisson model that sees the away side as nearly co-equal favourites.

Botafogo SP vs Avai

🧠 Botafogo SP are marginal market favourites at home but their poor season-long record and thin data environment make this a genuinely open, low-scoring affair.

Athletic Club vs Operario-PR

🧠 Operário-PR arrive as the form side and carry structural superiority, but limited data depth keeps confidence modest.

Ponte Preta vs Criciuma

🧠 Criciúma profile as the significantly stronger side across every measurable dimension, with Ponte Preta in deep structural crisis.

Juventude vs Vila Nova

🧠 Juventude, anchored by a defensively robust structure and strong home form, are marginal analytical favourites, though Vila Nova's higher-variance attacking profile and better season PPG introduce genuine uncertainty in a match the Poisson model projects as low-scoring.

Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP

🧠 Sport Recife are the marginal statistical favourite at home but their alarming recent run — one win in six — undermines confidence, and the low-scoring season profiles of both sides point toward a tight, under-laden contest.

Operario-PR vs Novorizontino

🧠 Novorizontino's superior season metrics and table position give them a narrow analytical edge, though the Poisson model projects a tight, low-scoring contest with a slight away lean.

Avai vs Náutico

🧠 Náutico profile as marginal favourites on season form metrics, but Avaí's strong recent run and home advantage create genuine uncertainty in a tightly contested, low-scoring affair.

São Bernardo vs Cuiaba

🧠 A low-scoring, tight contest is the most likely character of this match, with São Bernardo's home advantage and marginally superior recent output giving them a slight edge in a game where defensive solidity defines both sides.

Avai vs Nautico Recife

Atlético GO vs Fortaleza

🧠 A low-scoring, competitive contest between two evenly matched sides, with a draw or narrow home win the most statistically grounded outcome.

Atletico Goianiense vs Fortaleza EC

CRB vs Goias

🧠 CRB present a volatile, goal-heavy home profile that gives this match a better-than-even chance of clearing 2.5 goals, though Goiás's tighter defensive record away from home and superior points tally introduce genuine uncertainty.

America Mineiro vs Londrina

🧠 Londrina profiles as the marginally stronger side on seasonal metrics, with the Poisson model favouring an away win, though América Mineiro's home advantage and recent mini-revival temper that edge.

Ceara vs Athletic Club

🧠 Athletic Club are marginal favourites on available data, but the match profiles as low-scoring and competitive with a draw a live outcome.

CRB vs Nautico Recife

America Mineiro vs Ceara

Juventude vs Cuiaba

São Bernardo vs Avai