Track Record

How our model predictions did vs. the market on pre-match calls, graded on finished matches. Full transparency.

Return following the model · Prediction > +5pp
+9.28
units
+35.7%
ROI
13-13
26 value picks · 50%

Backtest: 1 unit on each value pick (model > market), at closing odds and the real result. Illustrative, not betting advice.

1X2 accuracy (model)
45%
18/40 sample
1X2 accuracy (market)
43%
17/40 sample
Over/Under 2.5 accuracy
78%
80/103 sample

Recent results

Matches & AnalysisPredictionResult
England vs Congo DR
1 Jul 2026
England2–1✓ Hit
Mexico vs Ecuador
1 Jul 2026
Mexico2–0✓ Hit
Botafogo SP vs CRB
30 Jun 2026
Botafogo SP0–1✗ Miss
France vs Sweden
30 Jun 2026
France3–0✓ Hit
Ivory Coast vs Norway
30 Jun 2026
Ivory Coast1–2✗ Miss
Netherlands vs Morocco
30 Jun 2026
Netherlands1–1✗ Miss
Germany vs Paraguay
29 Jun 2026
Germany1–1✗ Miss
Brazil vs Japan
29 Jun 2026
Brazil2–1✓ Hit
South Africa vs Canada
28 Jun 2026
Canada0–1✓ Hit
Algeria vs Austria
28 Jun 2026
Austria3–3✗ Miss
Jordan vs Argentina
28 Jun 2026
Argentina1–3✓ Hit
Náutico vs Goiás
28 Jun 2026
Náutico0–1✗ Miss
Fortaleza vs Sport Recife
28 Jun 2026
Sport Recife2–1✗ Miss
Atlético GO vs Ponte Preta
28 Jun 2026
Atlético GO2–0✓ Hit
Colombia vs Portugal
27 Jun 2026
Portugal0–0✗ Miss
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
27 Jun 2026
Congo DR3–1✓ Hit
Croatia vs Ghana
27 Jun 2026
Croatia2–1✓ Hit
Panama vs England
27 Jun 2026
England0–2✓ Hit
Egypt vs Iran
27 Jun 2026
Egypt1–1✗ Miss
New Zealand vs Belgium
27 Jun 2026
Belgium1–5✓ Hit
Uruguay vs Spain
27 Jun 2026
Spain0–1✓ Hit
Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia
27 Jun 2026
Cape Verde Islands0–0✗ Miss
Novorizontino vs Vila Nova
26 Jun 2026
Novorizontino2–1✓ Hit
Senegal vs Iraq
26 Jun 2026
Senegal5–0✓ Hit
Norway vs France
26 Jun 2026
France1–4✓ Hit
Paraguay vs Australia
26 Jun 2026
Australia0–0✗ Miss
Japan vs Sweden
25 Jun 2026
Japan1–1✗ Miss
Tunisia vs Netherlands
25 Jun 2026
Netherlands1–3✓ Hit
Ecuador vs Germany
25 Jun 2026
Germany2–1✗ Miss
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast
25 Jun 2026
Ivory Coast0–2✓ Hit
South Africa vs South Korea
25 Jun 2026
Draw1–0✗ Miss
Morocco vs Haiti
24 Jun 2026
Morocco4–2✓ Hit
Scotland vs Brazil
24 Jun 2026
Brazil0–3✓ Hit
Switzerland vs Canada
24 Jun 2026
Switzerland2–1✓ Hit
Colombia vs Congo DR
24 Jun 2026
Colombia1–0✓ Hit
Panama vs Croatia
23 Jun 2026
Croatia0–1✓ Hit
England vs Ghana
23 Jun 2026
England0–0✗ Miss
Portugal vs Uzbekistan
23 Jun 2026
Portugal5–0✓ Hit
Jordan vs Algeria
23 Jun 2026
Algeria1–2✓ Hit
Norway vs Senegal
23 Jun 2026
Norway3–2✓ Hit

Poisson model over season averages. Informational only, not betting advice.