Brazil vs Japan: result, lineups & analysis — FIFA World Cup

Brazil
Brazil
2–1
Japan
Japan

Monday, 29 June 2026 at 17:00 UTC

🏟 NRG Stadium · Houston

🏁 Post-match review

Brazil edged out Japan 2-1 in what was a competitive World Cup encounter, with the South American giants securing a narrow victory. Japan pushed Brazil hard and found the net once, but ultimately Brazil's quality proved enough to take the three points.

Expectation:No pre-match lean, verdict, or market probabilities were provided, so it is not possible to assess whether this result was expected or constituted an upset. On paper, Brazil would typically be considered favourites against Japan at a World Cup.

The win keeps Brazil firmly in contention in the tournament, while Japan can take some encouragement from competing closely against one of football's powerhouses, despite leaving empty-handed.

Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).

📐 Statistical score reference

Brazil
1.7 - 1.3
Japan
Projected total: 3.1Over 2.5: 59%
ModelMarket
46%
Brazil
24%
X
30%
Japan

Poisson reference based only on season goal averages. It is not the full-analysis prediction or betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Brazil· 1º · 7Pts
4-3-375% usage
👔 C. Ancelotti · Italy
In charge since 2025 · 66
Experience: 31y · 11 clubs
Ex-clubs: Real Madrid, Everton, Napoli
W-D-L: 3-1-0
Japan· 2º · 5Pts

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Brazil
4 / 3 games
Japan
2.49
xG
1.31
5.3
Corners
3.7
2
Points/game
1.25
80%
Over 2.5
75%
60%
BTTS
75%
40%
Clean sheets
25%
49%
Possession
51%
13.8
Shots
9.7

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

BrazilLWWWD
  • 2026-07-05 · (H) 1–2 vs Norway
  • 2026-06-29 · (H) 2–1 vs Japan
  • 2026-06-24 · (A) 3–0 vs Scotland
  • 2026-06-20 · (H) 3–0 vs Haiti
  • 2026-06-13 · (H) 1–1 vs Morocco
JapanLDWD
  • 2026-06-29 · (A) 1–2 vs Brazil
  • 2026-06-25 · (H) 1–1 vs Sweden
  • 2026-06-21 · (A) 4–0 vs Tunisia
  • 2026-06-14 · (A) 2–2 vs Netherlands

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

Maurizio Mariani, Italy

2.7
Cards/game
2.63
Goals/game
63%
BTTS

Referee averages in this competition · 19 games · PK Sport

✅ Confirmed lineups · Brazil [4-3-3]

API-Football · 29 Jun 2026, 19:51 UTC

  1. 1Alisson
  2. 13Danilo
  3. 4Marquinhos
  4. 3Gabriel Magalhães
  5. 16Douglas Santos
  6. 8Bruno Guimarães
  7. 5Casemiro
  8. 20Lucas Paquetá
  9. 26Rayan
  10. 9Matheus Cunha
  11. 7Vinícius Júnior

✅ Confirmed lineups · Japan [3-4-2-1]

API-Football · 29 Jun 2026, 19:51 UTC

  1. 1Zion Suzuki
  2. 22Takehiro Tomiyasu
  3. 3Shogo Taniguchi
  4. 21Hiroki Itō
  5. 10Ritsu Doan
  6. 24Kaishu Sano
  7. 15Daichi Kamada
  8. 13Keito Nakamura
  9. 14Junya Ito
  10. 11Daizen Maeda
  11. 18Ayase Ueda

🚑 Injuries / Absences

Brazil
  • outRaphinha
  • outLucas Paquetá
Japan

No confirmed absences.

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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