Ceara vs Avai: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série B

Ceara
Ceara
2–1
Avai
Avai

Wednesday, 10 June 2026 at 23:00 UTC

🏟 Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo · Fortaleza

🏁 Post-match review

Ceará claimed a 2-1 home victory over Avaí in the Brasileirão Série B, securing all three points at home. The result sees Ceará take a meaningful win in what is a competitive second-tier campaign.

Expectation:The market leaned towards Ceará as slight favourites at roughly 50% implied probability, so a home win, while not emphatic, is broadly in line with pre-match expectations rather than an upset.

A positive result for Ceará, who will take confidence from converting their home advantage, while Avaí — the least fancied side pre-match — leave empty-handed in their push up the Série B table.

Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥🔥
Ceara1.90 · 50%
X3.20 · 30%
Avai4.50 · 21%

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

📐 Statistical score reference

Ceara
1.2 - 1.1
Avai
Projected total: 2.4Over 2.5: 42%
ModelMarket
39%
Ceara
28%
X
33%
Avai

Poisson reference based only on season goal averages. It is not the full-analysis prediction or betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Ceara· 16º · 31Pts
4-2-3-159% usage
👔 Leonardo Condé · Brazil
In charge since 2024 · 47
Experience: 16y · 15 clubs
Ex-clubs: Vitória, Sampaio Corrêa, Novorizontino
W-D-L: 7-7-11
Avai· 17º · 29Pts
4-2-3-161% usage
👔 Jair Ventura
In charge since 2025
Experience: 10y · 9 clubs
Ex-clubs: Atletico Goianiense, Goias, Juventude
W-D-L: 8-5-12

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Ceara
14 / 15 games
Avai
0.99
xG
1.02
6.4
Corners
3.7
1.15
Points/game
1.07
37%
Over 2.5
44%
52%
BTTS
48%
19%
Clean sheets
26%
53%
Possession
45%
14.5
Shots
11.7

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

CearaLWLWLL
  • 2026-09-10 · (A) 1–2 vs Atletico Goianiense
  • 2026-09-05 · (H) 2–1 vs Sport Recife
  • 2026-08-30 · (A) 0–2 vs Vila Nova
  • 2026-08-22 · (H) 2–1 vs Londrina
  • 2026-08-19 · (A) 0–1 vs Nautico Recife
AvaiLLLWWW
  • 2026-09-09 · (A) 0–1 vs Fortaleza EC
  • 2026-09-05 · (A) 1–3 vs Novorizontino
  • 2026-08-30 · (H) 0–1 vs Atletico Goianiense
  • 2026-08-23 · (A) 2–0 vs Ponte Preta
  • 2026-08-19 · (H) 2–1 vs Sport Recife

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro, Brazil

3.7
Cards/game
2.17
Goals/game
50%
BTTS

Referee averages in this competition · 12 games · PK Sport

✅ Confirmed lineups · Avai [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 2Wallison
  2. 8Luiz Henrique
  3. 10Jean Lucas
  4. 14Daniel Penha
  5. 15Guilherme Aquino
  6. 25Paulo Vitor
  7. 36Douglas Teixeira
  8. 41Léo Aragão
  9. 43Thayllon
  10. 50João Maistro
  11. 57Walace dos Santos França

✅ Confirmed lineups · Ceara [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 1Richard
  2. 2Rafael Ramos
  3. 4Luiz Otávio
  4. 8Matheus Araújo
  5. 9Wendel
  6. 17Fernando
  7. 18Júlio
  8. 20Dieguinho
  9. 33Éder
  10. 40Melk
  11. 81João Gabriel

🚑 Injuries / Absences

Ceara
  • outVinicius Nelson de Souza Zanocelo
  • outFernando José Marques Maciel
  • outLucas Eduardo Lima da Silva
  • outLucca Holanda Sampaio Tavares
Avai

No confirmed absences.

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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