Ceara vs Botafogo SP: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série B

Ceara
Ceara
0–1
Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP

Saturday, 20 June 2026 at 22:00 UTC

🏟 Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo · Fortaleza

🏁 Post-match review

Botafogo SP claimed a surprise 1-0 victory away at Ceará in the Brasileirão Série B, despite the hosts being considered the stronger side heading into the match. It was a clean sheet and a fully deserved three points on the road for the visitors.

Expectation:This was an upset. The pre-match market strongly favoured Ceará (50.7% implied probability) with Botafogo SP given just a 20.9% chance of winning, making this a notable away victory against the odds.

A significant result for Botafogo SP, who earned a valuable win on the road against one of the division's more fancied sides. For Ceará, a home defeat to a lower-fancied opponent will be a concern and a missed opportunity to collect points on their own turf.

Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥🔥
Ceara1.85 · 51%
X3.30 · 28%
Botafogo SP4.50 · 21%

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

📐 Statistical score reference

Ceara
1.2 - 1.2
Botafogo SP
Projected total: 2.3Over 2.5: 41%
ModelMarket
37%
Ceara
28%
X
35%
Botafogo SP

Poisson reference based only on season goal averages. It is not the full-analysis prediction or betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Ceara· 16º · 31Pts
4-2-3-159% usage
👔 Leonardo Condé · Brazil
In charge since 2024 · 47
Experience: 16y · 15 clubs
Ex-clubs: Vitória, Sampaio Corrêa, Novorizontino
W-D-L: 7-7-11
Botafogo SP· 15º · 31Pts
4-2-3-160% usage
👔 Tencati Claudio
In charge since 2026
Experience: 0y · 1 clubs
W-D-L: 8-7-10

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Ceara
14 / 14 games
Botafogo SP
0.99
xG
1.01
6.4
Corners
6.4
1.15
Points/game
1.15
37%
Over 2.5
44%
52%
BTTS
52%
19%
Clean sheets
19%
53%
Possession
49%
14.5
Shots
13

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

CearaLWLWLL
  • 2026-09-10 · (A) 1–2 vs Atletico Goianiense
  • 2026-09-05 · (H) 2–1 vs Sport Recife
  • 2026-08-30 · (A) 0–2 vs Vila Nova
  • 2026-08-22 · (H) 2–1 vs Londrina
  • 2026-08-19 · (A) 0–1 vs Nautico Recife
Botafogo SPLLLLDW
  • 2026-09-09 · (H) 1–3 vs Novorizontino
  • 2026-09-03 · (A) 0–1 vs Nautico Recife
  • 2026-08-29 · (H) 1–2 vs Cuiaba
  • 2026-08-25 · (A) 0–3 vs Atletico Goianiense
  • 2026-08-20 · (H) 1–1 vs Criciuma

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho, Brazil

4.2
Cards/game
2.71
Goals/game
53%
BTTS

Referee averages in this competition · 17 games · PK Sport

✅ Confirmed lineups · Botafogo SP [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 1Victor Souza
  2. 3Ericson
  3. 4Vilar
  4. 6Patrick Brey
  5. 7Kelvin
  6. 9Hygor
  7. 10Rafael Gava
  8. 11Jefferson Nem
  9. 13Wallace
  10. 20Yuri Felipe
  11. 22Gabriel Inocêncio

✅ Confirmed lineups · Ceara [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 1Richard
  2. 2Rafael Ramos
  3. 4Luiz Otávio
  4. 8Matheus Araújo
  5. 9Wendel
  6. 17Fernando
  7. 18Júlio
  8. 26Richardson
  9. 33Éder
  10. 40Melk
  11. 81João Gabriel

🚑 Injuries / Absences

Ceara
  • outVinicius Nelson de Souza Zanocelo
Botafogo SP
  • outCarlos Eduardo da Silva Santos

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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