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Ecuador vs Germany: result, lineups & analysis — FIFA World Cup

FIFA World CupFinished
Ecuador
Ecuador
2–1
Germany
Germany

Thursday, 25 June 2026 at 20:00 UTC

🏟 MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford

🏁 Post-match review

Ecuador pulled off a stunning upset victory over Germany, winning 2-1 in their World Cup group-stage clash. The South American side proved they were no mere underdogs on the day.

Expectation：Without pre-match market data provided, this represents a significant result given Germany's status as a traditional World Cup heavyweight. Ecuador's victory would typically qualify as an upset against such opposition.

Ecuador secured a crucial three points and announced themselves as genuine contenders in their group, while Germany faced an early setback that demanded an immediate response in their remaining fixtures.

Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).

📐 Statistical score reference

Ecuador
0.9 - 1.8
Germany
Projected total: 2.7Over 2.5: 51%
ModelMarket
19%
—Ecuador
23%
—X
58%
—Germany

Poisson reference based only on season goal averages. It is not the full-analysis prediction or betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Ecuador· 4º · 4Pts
4-4-2
👔 S. Beccacece
Germany· 1º · 6Pts
—

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Ecuador
4 / 3 games
Germany
1.46
xG
2.25
6.3
Corners
6
1
Points/game
1.75
25%
Over 2.5
75%
25%
BTTS
100%
25%
Clean sheets
0%
56%
Possession
62%
13.3
Shots
17.7

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

EcuadorLWDL
  • 2026-07-01 · (A) 0–2 vs Mexico
  • 2026-06-25 · (H) 2–1 vs Germany
  • 2026-06-21 · (H) 0–0 vs Curaçao
  • 2026-06-14 · (A) 0–1 vs Ivory Coast
GermanyDLWW
  • 2026-06-29 · (H) 1–1 vs Paraguay
  • 2026-06-25 · (A) 1–2 vs Ecuador
  • 2026-06-20 · (H) 2–1 vs Ivory Coast
  • 2026-06-14 · (H) 7–1 vs Curaçao

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

Tori Penso, USA

3.5
Cards/game
2.5
Goals/game
100%
BTTS

Referee averages in this competition · 2 games · PK Sport

✅ Confirmed lineups · Germany [3-4-2-1]

API-Football · 26 Jul 2026, 16:40 UTC

  1. 1M. Neuer
  2. 6J. Kimmich
  3. 4J. Tah
  4. 2A. Rudiger
  5. 19L. Sane
  6. 23F. Nmecha
  7. 5A. Pavlovic
  8. 22D. Raum
  9. 10J. Musiala
  10. 17F. Wirtz
  11. 7K. Havertz

✅ Confirmed lineups · Ecuador [—]

API-Football · 26 Jul 2026, 16:40 UTC

  1. 1H. Galindez
  2. 21A. Franco
  3. 4J. Ordonez
  4. 6W. Pacho
  5. 3P. Hincapie
  6. 9J. Yeboah
  7. 23M. Caicedo
  8. 15P. Vite
  9. 20N. Angulo
  10. 19G. Plata
  11. 13E. Valencia

🚑 Injuries / Absences

Ecuador

No confirmed absences.

Germany
  • outN. Brown
  • outN. Schlotterbeck

Other matches this round

→
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast0–2Japan vs Sweden1–1Tunisia vs Netherlands1–3Türkiye vs USA3–2Paraguay vs Australia0–0Czechia vs Mexico0–3

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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