Ferroviária vs Paysandu: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série C

Ferroviária
Ferroviária
4–0
Paysandu
Paysandu

Monday, 17 August 2026 at 23:00 UTC

🏟 Arena Fonte Luminosa · Araraquara

🎯 Final analysis grade

5/10

✓ Got right: The analysis correctly picked the winner by highlighting Ferroviária’s home advantage and urgency after dropping out of the top eight. It also correctly identified the hosts as favorites, albeit moderate ones, and recognized that the pressure of the standings favored a more proactive approach at home.

✗ Missed: The main error was treating the match as potentially tight and underestimating Ferroviária’s potential for attacking dominance. Too much weight was placed on the under 2.5 goals market despite the teams’ recent scoring trends, and the analysis did not adequately account for a lopsided scoreline such as 4–0.

Post-match self-grade of our pre-match analysis (1-10). Feeds the system’s learning loop.

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥🔥
Ferroviária2.15 · 42%
X3.10 · 29%
Paysandu3.20 · 28%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.544%
Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
Yes50%
No50%

Odds movement ±2pts

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Ferroviária· 1º · 1Pts
👔 Vinícius Bergantin · Brazil
In charge since 2025 · 45
Experience: 10y · 6 clubs
Ex-clubs: Retrô, CSA, Santo André
Paysandu· 3º · 0Pts
👔 Luizinho Lopes · Brazil
In charge since 2025 · 44
Experience: 10y · 10 clubs
Ex-clubs: Vila Nova, Brusque, Confiança

📈 Recent form

FerroviáriaDWLWDD
  • 2026-09-05 · (A) 3–3 vs Inter De Limeira
  • 2026-08-29 · (H) 1–0 vs Confiança
  • 2026-08-23 · (A) 0–1 vs Ypiranga-RS
  • 2026-08-17 · (H) 4–0 vs Paysandu
  • 2026-08-08 · (A) 2–2 vs Figueirense
PaysanduLWLWLW
  • 2026-08-29 · (H) 0–1 vs Maringá
  • 2026-08-22 · (A) 1–0 vs Ituano
  • 2026-08-17 · (A) 0–4 vs Ferroviária
  • 2026-08-10 · (H) 2–1 vs Confiança
  • 2026-07-26 · (A) 1–2 vs Amazonas

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

P. Vollkopf

5
Cards/game
2.67
Goals/game
33%
BTTS

Referee averages in this competition · 6 games · PK Sport

✅ Confirmed lineups · Ferroviária [—]

API-Football · 20 Aug 2026, 03:57 UTC

  1. 31Denis Junior
  2. 22Felipe Rodrigues
  3. 13Gustavo Medina
  4. 40Ze Vitor
  5. 29Eduardo Oliveira
  6. 23Schilling Arthur
  7. 18Rafael Carillho
  8. 10Albano
  9. 7Fau
  10. 19M. Thiago
  11. 11Vitor Barreto

✅ Confirmed lineups · Paysandu [—]

API-Football · 20 Aug 2026, 03:57 UTC

  1. 12Gabriel Mesquita
  2. 2Edilson
  3. 44Pedro Carrerette
  4. 14Bruno Bispo
  5. 31F. Bonifazi
  6. 39Pedro Henrique
  7. 8Caio Mello
  8. 10Marcinho
  9. 30Thalyson
  10. 99Lucas Cardoso
  11. 9Italo Carvalho

⚡ Key intel: favorable & unfavorable factors

Ferroviária

Paysandu

AI-curated from all collected news: only facts likely to affect the result.

📰 Recent news

  • C★★★★
  • B★★★

Only intel rated ≥3★ impact is shown.

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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