FIFA World CupPre-match
Mexico
Mexico
vs
England
England

Monday, 6 July 2026 at 00:00 UTC

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥
Mexico3.05 · 31%
X3.10 · 30%
England2.38 · 39%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.538%
Under 2.562%
Both teams to score
Yes46%
No54%

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

🎯 Score model

Mexico
1.5 - 1.0
England
Projected total: 2.4Over 2.5: 43%Most likely score: 1-0
1-0
13%
1-1
12%
2-0
9%
2-1
9%
0-0
9%
ModelMarket
49%
31%Mexico
27%
30%X
25%
39%England

Poisson model over season goal averages — reference only, not betting advice. Small samples lower accuracy.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

👔 J. Aguirre · Mexico
In charge since 2024 · 67
Experience: 30y · 13 clubs
Ex-clubs: Mallorca, Monterrey, Leganes
4-2-3-175% usage
👔 T. Tuchel · Germany
In charge since 2025 · 52
Experience: 17y · 6 clubs
Ex-clubs: Bayern Munich, Chelsea, PSG
W-D-L: 3-1-0

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Mexico
0 / 0 games
England
1.75
Corners
7.25
3
Points/game
2.5
25%
Over 2.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean sheets
50%

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

MexicoWWWW
  • 2026-07-01 · (H) 2–0 vs Ecuador
  • 2026-06-25 · (A) 3–0 vs Czechia
  • 2026-06-19 · (H) 1–0 vs South Korea
  • 2026-06-11 · (H) 2–0 vs South Africa
EnglandWWDW
  • 2026-07-01 · (H) 2–1 vs Congo DR
  • 2026-06-27 · (A) 2–0 vs Panama
  • 2026-06-23 · (H) 0–0 vs Ghana
  • 2026-06-17 · (H) 4–2 vs Croatia

Official lineups drop ~40 min before kickoff.

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net