Mexico vs South Africa: result, lineups & analysis — FIFA World Cup

Mexico
Mexico
2–0
South Africa
South Africa

Thursday, 11 June 2026 at 19:00 UTC

🏟 Estadio Banorte · Mexico City

🏁 Post-match review

Mexico defeated South Africa 2-0 in the FIFA World Cup. South Africa finished without scoring as Mexico claimed a clear victory.

Expectation:There was no pre-match lean or market-implied probability provided, so the result cannot be classified as expected or an upset against those references.

The result gives Mexico a convincing win, while South Africa must reflect on a scoreless defeat.

Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).

📐 Statistical score reference

Mexico
1.6 - 0.5
South Africa
Projected total: 2.1Over 2.5: 35%
ModelMarket
63%
Mexico
24%
X
12%
South Africa

Poisson reference based only on season goal averages. It is not the full-analysis prediction or betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Mexico· 1º · 9Pts
4-3-3
👔 J. Aguirre · Mexico
In charge since 2024 · 67
Experience: 30y · 13 clubs
Ex-clubs: Mallorca, Monterrey, Leganes
South Africa· 2º · 4Pts

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Mexico
5 / 3 games
South Africa
1.32
xG
0.87
3.8
Corners
3.3
2.4
Points/game
1
40%
Over 2.5
0%
20%
BTTS
25%
80%
Clean sheets
25%
52%
Possession
44%
14
Shots
11

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

MexicoLWWWW
  • 2026-07-06 · (H) 2–3 vs England
  • 2026-07-01 · (H) 2–0 vs Ecuador
  • 2026-06-25 · (A) 3–0 vs Czechia
  • 2026-06-19 · (H) 1–0 vs South Korea
  • 2026-06-11 · (H) 2–0 vs South Africa
South AfricaLWDL
  • 2026-06-28 · (H) 0–1 vs Canada
  • 2026-06-25 · (H) 1–0 vs South Korea
  • 2026-06-18 · (A) 1–1 vs Czechia
  • 2026-06-11 · (A) 0–2 vs Mexico

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil

4.2
Cards/game
2.67
Goals/game
58%
BTTS

Referee averages in this competition · 52 games · PK Sport

✅ Confirmed lineups · Mexico [4-1-4-1]

API-Football · 30 Jun 2026, 15:38 UTC

  1. 1R. Rangel
  2. 15I. Reyes
  3. 3C. Montes
  4. 5J. Vasquez
  5. 23J. Gallardo
  6. 6E. Lira
  7. 25R. Alvarado
  8. 26B. Gutierrez
  9. 8A. Fidalgo
  10. 16J. Quinones
  11. 9R. Jimenez

✅ Confirmed lineups · South Africa [5-3-2]

API-Football · 30 Jun 2026, 15:38 UTC

  1. 1R. Williams
  2. 20K. Mudau
  3. 19N. Sibisi
  4. 21I. Okon
  5. 14M. Mbokazi
  6. 6A. Modiba
  7. 4T. Mokoena
  8. 13Y. Sithole
  9. 23J. Adams
  10. 15I. Rayners
  11. 9L. Foster

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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