Athletic Club vs Avai: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série B

Athletic Club
Athletic Club
1–0
Avai
Avai

Sunday, 28 June 2026 at 19:00 UTC

🏟 Estádio Joaquim Portugal · São João del Rei

🏁 Post-match review

Athletic Club claimed a narrow 1-0 home victory over Avaí in the Brasileirão Série B, securing all three points in a tight contest. The result keeps Athletic Club competitive in the division while handing Avaí a frustrating defeat.

Expectation:The market had Athletic Club as modest favourites with nearly a 50% implied probability of a home win, so the result aligns with the pre-match expectations — a expected, if not emphatic, outcome.

A valuable three points for Athletic Club, who made the most of their home advantage. Avaí, who were considered the underdogs heading in, will need to regroup as their push for promotion or survival becomes more challenging.

Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥🔥
Athletic Club1.90 · 50%
X3.30 · 29%
Avai4.33 · 22%

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

📐 Statistical score reference

Athletic Club
1.3 - 1.0
Avai
Projected total: 2.3Over 2.5: 41%
ModelMarket
43%
Athletic Club
28%
X
30%
Avai

Poisson reference based only on season goal averages. It is not the full-analysis prediction or betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Athletic Club· 12º · 37Pts
4-3-325% usage
👔 Rui Duarte · Portugal
In charge since 2025 · 47
Experience: 9y · 7 clubs
Ex-clubs: Marítimo, Sporting Braga U19, Sporting Braga
W-D-L: 8-10-7
Avai· 17º · 29Pts
4-2-3-161% usage
👔 Jair Ventura
In charge since 2025
Experience: 10y · 9 clubs
Ex-clubs: Atletico Goianiense, Goias, Juventude
W-D-L: 8-5-12

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Athletic Club
16 / 15 games
Avai
1.08
xG
1.02
4.6
Corners
3.7
1.37
Points/game
1.07
37%
Over 2.5
44%
56%
BTTS
48%
26%
Clean sheets
26%
44%
Possession
45%
10.8
Shots
11.7

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

Athletic ClubDLWWWL
  • 2026-09-12 · (H) 1–1 vs Elche
  • 2026-09-08 · (A) 0–3 vs Cuiaba
  • 2026-09-05 · (H) 3–0 vs Atletico Madrid
  • 2026-09-04 · (H) 5–0 vs Vila Nova
  • 2026-08-30 · (A) 2–0 vs Celta Vigo
AvaiLLLWWW
  • 2026-09-09 · (A) 0–1 vs Fortaleza EC
  • 2026-09-05 · (A) 1–3 vs Novorizontino
  • 2026-08-30 · (H) 0–1 vs Atletico Goianiense
  • 2026-08-23 · (A) 2–0 vs Ponte Preta
  • 2026-08-19 · (H) 2–1 vs Sport Recife

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos, Brazil

4
Cards/game
3.31
Goals/game
77%
BTTS

Referee averages in this competition · 13 games · PK Sport

✅ Confirmed lineups · Avai [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 1Igor Bohn
  2. 3Allyson
  3. 8Luiz Henrique
  4. 9Léo Gamalho
  5. 10Jean Lucas
  6. 11Sorriso
  7. 36Douglas Teixeira
  8. 43Thayllon
  9. 50João Maistro
  10. 52Wesley Gasolina
  11. 77Zé Ricardo

✅ Confirmed lineups · Athletic Club [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 1Luan Polli
  2. 2Douglas Pelé
  3. 3Jhonathan
  4. 5Ian Luccas
  5. 6Zeca
  6. 11Max
  7. 13Felipe Vieira
  8. 15Jota
  9. 16João Miguel
  10. 17Kauan
  11. 23Enzo

🚑 Injuries / Absences

Athletic Club
  • outPhilipe Sampaio Azevedo
  • outRonaldo Rodrigues Tavares
Avai

No confirmed absences.

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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