Juventude vs Ceara: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série B

Juventude
Juventude
2–0
Ceara
Ceara

Sunday, 28 June 2026 at 19:00 UTC

🏟 Estádio Alfredo Jaconi · Caxias do Sul

🏁 Post-match review

Juventude claimed a comfortable 2-0 home victory over Ceará in the Brasileirão Série B, securing all three points on their own turf. The result was a clean sheet for the hosts, who produced a winning performance without reply.

Expectation:The market had Juventude as clear favourites at 51.1% implied probability, and the result aligned with that pre-match expectation. This was not an upset — the home side delivered exactly what the numbers suggested they were capable of.

A valuable win for Juventude that strengthens their position in the Série B standings, while Ceará — already considered long shots at just 18.7% implied — will need to regroup after a disappointing defeat.

Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥🔥
Juventude1.83 · 51%
X3.10 · 30%
Ceara5.00 · 19%

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

📐 Statistical score reference

Juventude
1.3 - 0.8
Ceara
Projected total: 2Over 2.5: 34%
ModelMarket
48%
Juventude
29%
X
22%
Ceara

Poisson reference based only on season goal averages. It is not the full-analysis prediction or betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Juventude· 1º · 50Pts
3-4-2-153% usage
👔 Cláudio Tencati · Brazil
In charge since 2025 · 53
Experience: 13y · 6 clubs
Ex-clubs: Atlético Goianiense, Criciúma, Brasil de Pelotas
W-D-L: 7-4-4
Ceara· 16º · 31Pts
4-2-3-159% usage
👔 Leonardo Condé · Brazil
In charge since 2024 · 47
Experience: 16y · 15 clubs
Ex-clubs: Vitória, Sampaio Corrêa, Novorizontino
W-D-L: 7-7-11

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Juventude
16 / 14 games
Ceara
1.03
xG
0.99
3.4
Corners
6.4
1.85
Points/game
1.15
26%
Over 2.5
37%
22%
BTTS
52%
70%
Clean sheets
19%
47%
Possession
53%
11.9
Shots
14.5

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

JuventudeWDDWWD
  • 2026-09-09 · (A) 2–0 vs Criciuma
  • 2026-09-05 · (H) 2–2 vs Atletico Goianiense
  • 2026-09-01 · (A) 0–0 vs Londrina
  • 2026-08-25 · (H) 2–1 vs CRB
  • 2026-08-19 · (A) 1–0 vs Goias
CearaLWLWLL
  • 2026-09-10 · (A) 1–2 vs Atletico Goianiense
  • 2026-09-05 · (H) 2–1 vs Sport Recife
  • 2026-08-30 · (A) 0–2 vs Vila Nova
  • 2026-08-22 · (H) 2–1 vs Londrina
  • 2026-08-19 · (A) 0–1 vs Nautico Recife

🆚 Head-to-head

  • 2026-06-28 · Juventude 2–0 Ceara
  • 2025-08-30 · Ceara 0–1 Juventude
  • 2025-04-12 · Juventude 2–1 Ceara

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

Lucas Casagrande, Brazil

4.3
Cards/game
2.13
Goals/game
26%
BTTS

Referee averages in this competition · 23 games · PK Sport

✅ Confirmed lineups · Juventude [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 4Messias
  2. 8Lucas Mineiro
  3. 10Marcos Paulo
  4. 11Fábio Lima
  5. 13Aderlan
  6. 16Diogo Barbosa
  7. 25Alisson Safira
  8. 34Rodrigo Sam
  9. 47Marcos Paulo
  10. 75Raí
  11. 93Jandrei

✅ Confirmed lineups · Ceara [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 1Richard
  2. 2Rafael Ramos
  3. 4Luiz Otávio
  4. 12Sánchez
  5. 18Júlio
  6. 40Melk
  7. 71Gabriel Silva Rocha
  8. 80Pedro Esli
  9. 81João Gabriel
  10. 98Matheusinho
  11. 99Lucca

🚑 Injuries / Absences

Juventude

No confirmed absences.

Ceara
  • outVinicius Nelson de Souza Zanocelo

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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