Athletic Club vs Fortaleza EC: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série B

Athletic Club
Athletic Club
1–0
Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC

Saturday, 30 May 2026 at 21:00 UTC

🏁 Post-match review

Athletic Club claimed a narrow 1-0 home victory over Fortaleza in the Brasileirão Série B. The result gives Athletic Club all three points in what was expected to be a closely contested encounter.

Expectation:The market offered no clear favourite, with Fortaleza and a draw both sharing equal implied probability at 32.2% and Athletic Club only slightly ahead at 35.6%. The home side's win is modestly in line with them being the marginal pre-match favourite, though far from a certainty.

Athletic Club will be pleased to convert their slim home advantage into a crucial three points, while Fortaleza will rue a defeat in a match they had a reasonable chance of winning or drawing.

Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥
Athletic Club2.62 · 36%
X2.90 · 32%
Fortaleza EC2.90 · 32%

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Athletic Club· 12º · 37Pts
4-3-325% usage
👔 Rui Duarte · Portugal
In charge since 2025 · 47
Experience: 9y · 7 clubs
Ex-clubs: Marítimo, Sporting Braga U19, Sporting Braga
W-D-L: 8-10-7
Fortaleza EC· 3º · 47Pts
3-4-2-142% usage
👔 Carpini Thiago
In charge since 2026
Experience: 0y · 1 clubs
W-D-L: 11-8-6

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Athletic Club
16 / 15 games
Fortaleza EC
1.08
xG
1.42
4.6
Corners
6.1
1.37
Points/game
37%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS
26%
Clean sheets
44%
Possession
47%
10.8
Shots
14.3

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

Athletic ClubDLWWWL
  • 2026-09-12 · (H) 1–1 vs Elche
  • 2026-09-08 · (A) 0–3 vs Cuiaba
  • 2026-09-05 · (H) 3–0 vs Atletico Madrid
  • 2026-09-04 · (H) 5–0 vs Vila Nova
  • 2026-08-30 · (A) 2–0 vs Celta Vigo
Fortaleza ECWWDWDD
  • 2026-09-09 · (H) 1–0 vs Avai
  • 2026-09-05 · (A) 1–0 vs Goias
  • 2026-08-31 · (H) 1–1 vs Operario-PR
  • 2026-08-23 · (A) 2–0 vs Criciuma
  • 2026-08-19 · (H) 1–1 vs São Bernardo

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes

6
Cards/game
6
Goals/game
100%
BTTS
0
Pens/game

Referee averages in this competition · 2 games · FootyStats

✅ Confirmed lineups · Fortaleza EC [—]

sportmonks · 29 Jun 2026, 23:50 UTC

  1. 1João Ricardo
  2. 2Emanuel Brítez
  3. 4Luan Freitas
  4. 9Juan Miritello
  5. 11Vitinho
  6. 18Gabriel Fuentes
  7. 29Rodrigo Santos
  8. 31Welliton
  9. 33Kauã Rocha
  10. 75Rodriguinho
  11. 88Lucas Sasha

✅ Confirmed lineups · Athletic Club [—]

sportmonks · 29 Jun 2026, 23:50 UTC

  1. 1Luan Polli
  2. 3Jhonathan
  3. 4Lucas Belezi
  4. 5Ian Luccas
  5. 6Zeca
  6. 8Gian Franco Cabezas Rodríguez
  7. 11Max
  8. 14Marcelo Henrique
  9. 16João Miguel
  10. 21Dixon Vera
  11. 22Diogo Batista

🚑 Injuries / Absences

Athletic Club
  • outRonaldo Rodrigues Tavares
  • outPhilipe Sampaio Azevedo
Fortaleza EC

No confirmed absences.

Other matches in the competition

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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