Londrina vs Vila Nova: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série B

Londrina
Londrina
0–1
Vila Nova
Vila Nova

Sunday, 31 May 2026 at 14:00 UTC

🏁 Post-match review

Vila Nova claimed a narrow 1-0 victory away at Londrina in the Brasileirão Série B, securing all three points on the road. It was a tight affair, with the result decided by the finest of margins.

Expectation:The pre-match market made Londrina slight favourites at 37% implied probability, with Vila Nova and the draw level at 31.5% each. Vila Nova's win therefore represents a mild upset, going against the market's lean toward the home side.

A valuable away win for Vila Nova, who will be pleased to take maximum points from a ground where they were not expected to prevail. For Londrina, a home defeat against an evenly-matched opponent is a setback in what looks set to be a competitive Série B campaign.

Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥
Londrina2.55 · 37%
X3.00 · 32%
Vila Nova3.00 · 32%

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

📐 Statistical score reference

Londrina
1.2 - 1.4
Vila Nova
Projected total: 2.6Over 2.5: 48%
ModelMarket
33%
Londrina
26%
X
41%
Vila Nova

Poisson reference based only on season goal averages. It is not the full-analysis prediction or betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Londrina· 18º · 22Pts
4-2-3-143% usage
👔 Alemão
In charge since 2019
Experience: 7y · 1 clubs
W-D-L: 4-3-8
Vila Nova· 5º · 44Pts
4-2-3-188% usage
👔 Rafael Lacerda
In charge since 2025
Experience: 6y · 6 clubs
Ex-clubs: Barra, ABC, Amazonas
W-D-L: 13-5-8

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Londrina
14 / 16 games
Vila Nova
1.2
xG
1.09
4.5
Corners
5.2
0.93
Points/game
1.74
63%
Over 2.5
41%
56%
BTTS
41%
22%
Clean sheets
33%
44%
Possession
50%
12.3
Shots
13.3

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

LondrinaWLDLDL
  • 2026-09-10 · (A) 2–1 vs São Bernardo
  • 2026-09-06 · (H) 1–2 vs Operario-PR
  • 2026-09-01 · (H) 0–0 vs Juventude
  • 2026-08-22 · (A) 1–2 vs Ceara
  • 2026-08-18 · (H) 0–0 vs Atletico Goianiense
Vila NovaWLWDWW
  • 2026-09-10 · (H) 2–0 vs Goias
  • 2026-09-04 · (A) 0–5 vs Athletic Club
  • 2026-08-30 · (H) 2–0 vs Ceara
  • 2026-08-23 · (A) 0–0 vs Operario-PR
  • 2026-08-19 · (H) 6–0 vs Ponte Preta

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos, Brazil

5.4
Cards/game
2.85
Goals/game
38%
BTTS

Referee averages in this competition · 13 games · PK Sport

✅ Confirmed lineups · Londrina [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 3Yago Lincoln
  2. 5André Luiz
  3. 8Lucas Marques
  4. 9Bruno Santos
  5. 11Iago Teles
  6. 13André Dhominique
  7. 15Gabriel Lacerda
  8. 18Paulo Roberto Moccelin
  9. 30Mauricio Kozlinski
  10. 34Heron
  11. 96Thalis

✅ Confirmed lineups · Vila Nova [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 1Helton Leite
  2. 3Tiago Pagnussat
  3. 4Pedro Romano
  4. 6Higor
  5. 8Willian Maranhão
  6. 9Gustavo Puskas
  7. 10Marquinhos Gabriel
  8. 11Ryan
  9. 15Dudu Dos Santos
  10. 20Nathan Camargo
  11. 99Janderson

🚑 Injuries / Absences

Londrina
  • outWallace Reis da Silva
  • outGilberto Oliveira Souza Junior
Vila Nova
  • outEmerson Lima Freitas
  • outRafael da Silva

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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