Ceara vs Operario-PR: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série B

Ceara
Ceara
1–2
Operario-PR
Operario-PR

Sunday, 31 May 2026 at 19:00 UTC

🏁 Post-match review

Operário PR pulled off a notable away win at Ceará, claiming a 2-1 victory in the Brasileirão Série B. Despite playing on the road, Operário secured all three points against a Ceará side that had been favoured by the market heading into the game.

Expectation:This qualifies as an upset — the market gave Ceará a 44.8% implied probability of winning at home, making them the clear favourite, while Operário were rated at just 24.8%. The away side defied those odds to take the win.

A valuable three points for Operário PR, who will take great confidence from winning away from home against a higher-fancied opponent. For Ceará, dropping points at home to a side the market considered underdogs will be a source of concern in their Série B campaign.

Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥🔥
Ceara2.10 · 45%
X3.10 · 30%
Operario-PR3.80 · 25%

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

📐 Statistical score reference

Ceara
1.2 - 1.3
Operario-PR
Projected total: 2.5Over 2.5: 45%
ModelMarket
35%
Ceara
27%
X
38%
Operario-PR

Poisson reference based only on season goal averages. It is not the full-analysis prediction or betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Ceara· 16º · 31Pts
4-2-3-159% usage
👔 Leonardo Condé · Brazil
In charge since 2024 · 47
Experience: 16y · 15 clubs
Ex-clubs: Vitória, Sampaio Corrêa, Novorizontino
W-D-L: 7-7-11
Operario-PR· 6º · 43Pts
4-2-3-133% usage
👔 Bruno Pivetti · Brazil
In charge since 2024 · 41
Experience: 10y · 12 clubs
Ex-clubs: CRB, Náutico, Água Santa
W-D-L: 10-7-8

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Ceara
14 / 15 games
Operario-PR
0.99
xG
1.3
6.4
Corners
4.2
1.15
Points/game
1.59
37%
Over 2.5
63%
52%
BTTS
56%
19%
Clean sheets
37%
53%
Possession
53%
14.5
Shots
14.3

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

CearaLWLWLL
  • 2026-09-10 · (A) 1–2 vs Atletico Goianiense
  • 2026-09-05 · (H) 2–1 vs Sport Recife
  • 2026-08-30 · (A) 0–2 vs Vila Nova
  • 2026-08-22 · (H) 2–1 vs Londrina
  • 2026-08-19 · (A) 0–1 vs Nautico Recife
Operario-PRWWDDLL
  • 2026-09-09 · (H) 3–0 vs CRB
  • 2026-09-06 · (A) 2–1 vs Londrina
  • 2026-08-31 · (A) 1–1 vs Fortaleza EC
  • 2026-08-23 · (H) 0–0 vs Vila Nova
  • 2026-08-19 · (A) 0–1 vs Cuiaba

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

Gustavo Ervino Bauermann, Brazil

6.7
Cards/game
2.88
Goals/game
50%
BTTS

Referee averages in this competition · 8 games · PK Sport

✅ Confirmed lineups · Ceara [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 1Richard
  2. 4Luiz Otávio
  3. 8Matheus Araújo
  4. 9Wendel
  5. 11Fernandinho
  6. 17Fernando
  7. 18Júlio
  8. 20Dieguinho
  9. 33Éder
  10. 40Melk
  11. 81João Gabriel

✅ Confirmed lineups · Operario-PR [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 2Mikael Doka
  2. 6Moraes
  3. 10Gabriel Boschilia
  4. 11Aylon
  5. 16Miranda
  6. 20Vinícius Diniz
  7. 22José Cuenú
  8. 27Gabriel Feliciano
  9. 33Vagner
  10. 39Matheus Trindade
  11. 92Pablo

🚑 Injuries / Absences

Ceara
  • outLucca Holanda Sampaio Tavares
  • outVinicius Nelson de Souza Zanocelo
  • outSanchez José Vale Costa
Operario-PR
  • outVinicius Alessandro Mingotti

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

Share