Criciuma vs Ceara: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série B

Criciuma
Criciuma
1–1
Ceara
Ceara

Tuesday, 16 June 2026 at 00:00 UTC

🏁 Post-match review

Criciúma and Ceará shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw in the Brasileirão Série B. Despite Criciúma holding home advantage and being the clear market favourite, neither side managed to claim all three points.

Expectation:The market strongly favoured a Criciúma home win (53.4% implied probability), making this draw a mild upset. Ceará, given only a 17.8% chance of winning, did well to leave with a point.

A point each leaves both sides with mixed feelings — Criciúma will feel they let an opportunity slip at home, while Ceará can take some encouragement from holding the favourites on their own turf.

Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥🔥
Criciuma1.75 · 53%
X3.25 · 29%
Ceara5.25 · 18%

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

📐 Statistical score reference

Criciuma
1.2 - 0.9
Ceara
Projected total: 2.1Over 2.5: 35%
ModelMarket
45%
Criciuma
29%
X
26%
Ceara

Poisson reference based only on season goal averages. It is not the full-analysis prediction or betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Criciuma· 4º · 47Pts
3-4-2-179% usage
👔 Eduardo Baptista · Brazil
In charge since 2025 · 53
Experience: 12y · 14 clubs
Ex-clubs: Novorizontino, Atlético Goianiense, Juventude
W-D-L: 7-6-2
Ceara· 16º · 31Pts
4-2-3-159% usage
👔 Leonardo Condé · Brazil
In charge since 2024 · 47
Experience: 16y · 15 clubs
Ex-clubs: Vitória, Sampaio Corrêa, Novorizontino
W-D-L: 7-7-11

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Criciuma
14 / 14 games
Ceara
1.16
xG
0.99
6.7
Corners
6.4
1.74
Points/game
1.15
19%
Over 2.5
37%
41%
BTTS
52%
44%
Clean sheets
19%
53%
Possession
53%
13.5
Shots
14.5

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

CriciumaLWLLDW
  • 2026-09-09 · (H) 0–2 vs Juventude
  • 2026-09-04 · (H) 2–0 vs Cuiaba
  • 2026-08-30 · (A) 1–2 vs CRB
  • 2026-08-23 · (H) 0–2 vs Fortaleza EC
  • 2026-08-20 · (A) 1–1 vs Botafogo SP
CearaLWLWLL
  • 2026-09-10 · (A) 1–2 vs Atletico Goianiense
  • 2026-09-05 · (H) 2–1 vs Sport Recife
  • 2026-08-30 · (A) 0–2 vs Vila Nova
  • 2026-08-22 · (H) 2–1 vs Londrina
  • 2026-08-19 · (A) 0–1 vs Nautico Recife

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

J. Vitor Gobi

4
Cards/game
2.33
Goals/game
67%
BTTS
0
Pens/game

Referee averages in this competition · 3 games · FootyStats

✅ Confirmed lineups · Criciuma [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 3Rodrigo
  2. 5Eduardo
  3. 7Fellipe Mateus
  4. 8Guilherme Lobo
  5. 13Waguininho
  6. 32Airton
  7. 34Bruno Alves
  8. 37César Martins
  9. 91R. Otero
  10. 97Willean Lepo
  11. 200Marcelo Hermes

✅ Confirmed lineups · Ceara [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 1Richard
  2. 2Rafael Ramos
  3. 4Luiz Otávio
  4. 12Sánchez
  5. 17Fernando
  6. 18Júlio
  7. 33Éder
  8. 40Melk
  9. 63Pedro Gilmar
  10. 81João Gabriel
  11. 83Gabriel Amaral

🚑 Injuries / Absences

Criciuma
  • outYuri Jonathan Vitor Coelho
Ceara
  • outVinicius Nelson de Souza Zanocelo

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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