Cuiaba vs Vila Nova: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série B
Sunday, 14 June 2026 at 20:00 UTC
🏟 Arena Pantanal · Cuiabá
🏁 Post-match review
Cuiabá edged out Vila Nova 1-0 in the Brasileirão Série B, securing all three points at home with a narrow victory. It was a tight contest decided by a single goal, as the scoreline suggests.
Expectation：The result aligned with the market's pre-match lean, which gave Cuiabá the highest implied probability at 46.1%. A home win was the most likely outcome according to the odds, so this was largely an expected result rather than an upset.
The win is a valuable three points for Cuiabá in the Série B promotion race, while Vila Nova — the market's least favoured side at just 22.5% — leave empty-handed and will need to regroup.
Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).
📊 Market expectation (1X2)
Market heat 🔥🔥De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.
📐 Statistical score reference
Poisson reference based only on season goal averages. It is not the full-analysis prediction or betting advice.
🎓 Coaches / Formations
🔬 Advanced data (averages)
Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football
📈 Recent form
- 2026-09-08 · (H) 3–0 vs Athletic Club
- 2026-09-04 · (A) 0–2 vs Criciuma
- 2026-08-29 · (A) 2–1 vs Botafogo SP
- 2026-08-22 · (H) 1–1 vs Goias
- 2026-08-19 · (H) 1–0 vs Operario-PR
- 2026-09-10 · (H) 2–0 vs Goias
- 2026-09-04 · (A) 0–5 vs Athletic Club
- 2026-08-30 · (H) 2–0 vs Ceara
- 2026-08-23 · (A) 0–0 vs Operario-PR
- 2026-08-19 · (H) 6–0 vs Ponte Preta
🆚 Head-to-head
- 2026-06-14 · Cuiaba 1–0 Vila Nova
🧑⚖️ Referee
Denis da Silva Ribeiro Serafim, Brazil
Referee averages in this competition · 4 games · PK Sport
✅ Confirmed lineups · Cuiaba [—]
sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC
- 4Vitor Mendes
- 5Calebe Costa
- 6Marlon
- 8Pepê
- 13Basso
- 27Rodrigo Rodrigues
- 29Vinicius Peixoto
- 30Raul
- 31Marcelo Carné
- 37Railan
- 97Luiz Otavio
✅ Confirmed lineups · Vila Nova [—]
sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC
- 3Tiago Pagnussat
- 5João Vieira
- 6Higor
- 7André Luis
- 11Ryan
- 14Anderson
- 15Dudu Dos Santos
- 20Nathan Camargo
- 29Dalberson Ferreira
- 31Dodô
- 99Janderson
🚑 Injuries / Absences
No confirmed absences.
- outRafael da Silva
Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.
Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net