Fortaleza EC vs São Bernardo: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série B

Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC
1–1
São Bernardo
São Bernardo

Wednesday, 19 August 2026 at 22:30 UTC

🏟 Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo · Fortaleza

🎯 Final analysis grade

6/10

✓ Got right: The analysis correctly captured Fortaleza’s territorial control: the home side had 24 shots, 2.11 xG and 8 corners, confirming the projection of pressure from wide areas. It also correctly anticipated a low-scoring game and rightly rejected the idea that São Bernardo’s historical BTTS rate automatically implied an open match.

✗ Missed: The main error was turning territorial superiority into a likely win without giving enough weight to the draw risk and low conversion: despite the volume, Fortaleza scored only once. We also underestimated São Bernardo’s ability to score from a transition or isolated chance, despite recording only 0.76 xG.

Post-match self-grade of our pre-match analysis (1-10). Feeds the system’s learning loop.

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥🔥
Fortaleza EC1.65 · 56%
X3.55 · 26%
São Bernardo5.40 · 17%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Both teams to score
Yes44%
No56%

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Fortaleza EC· 3º · 47Pts
3-4-2-142% usage
👔 Carpini Thiago
In charge since 2026
Experience: 0y · 1 clubs
W-D-L: 11-8-6
São Bernardo· 14º · 35Pts
4-2-3-160% usage
👔 Catala Ricardo
In charge since 2026
Experience: 0y · 1 clubs
W-D-L: 8-8-9

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Fortaleza EC
15 / 15 games
São Bernardo
1.42
xG
1.12
6.1
Corners
5.9
Points/game
1.3
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS
63%
Clean sheets
22%
47%
Possession
54%
14.3
Shots
13.4

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

Fortaleza ECWWDWDD
  • 2026-09-09 · (H) 1–0 vs Avai
  • 2026-09-05 · (A) 1–0 vs Goias
  • 2026-08-31 · (H) 1–1 vs Operario-PR
  • 2026-08-23 · (A) 2–0 vs Criciuma
  • 2026-08-19 · (H) 1–1 vs São Bernardo
São BernardoLWLDDL
  • 2026-09-10 · (H) 1–2 vs Londrina
  • 2026-09-06 · (A) 2–0 vs Ponte Preta
  • 2026-08-28 · (A) 1–2 vs Goias
  • 2026-08-23 · (H) 1–1 vs Nautico Recife
  • 2026-08-19 · (A) 1–1 vs Fortaleza EC

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

F. Mendes

5.5
Cards/game
2
Goals/game
50%
BTTS
0
Pens/game

Referee averages in this competition · 2 games · FootyStats

✅ Confirmed lineups · Fortaleza EC [4-3-3]

API-Football · 19 Aug 2026, 22:06 UTC

  1. 1João Ricardo
  2. 22Maílton
  3. 6Tomás Cardona
  4. 3Lucas Gazal
  5. 13Maurício Lima
  6. 88Lucas Sasha
  7. 5Pierre
  8. 75Rodriguinho
  9. 16Pedro Henrique
  10. 9Juan Miritello
  11. 11Vitinho

✅ Confirmed lineups · São Bernardo [4-3-3]

API-Football · 19 Aug 2026, 22:06 UTC

  1. 1Alex Alves
  2. 2Rodrigo Ferreira
  3. 3Helder Maciel
  4. 35Jemerson
  5. 6Pará
  6. 17Romisson
  7. 8Foguinho
  8. 26Dudu Miraíma
  9. 42Hyoran
  10. 9Felipe Garcia
  11. 29Pedrinho

⚡ Key intel: favorable & unfavorable factors

Fortaleza EC

São Bernardo

AI-curated from all collected news: only facts likely to affect the result.

📰 Recent news

  • C★★★★★
  • C★★★★
  • C★★★★
  • C★★★★
  • C★★★★
  • C★★★★
  • C★★★★
  • C★★★

Only intel rated ≥3★ impact is shown.

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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