Nautico Recife vs Ceara: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série B

Nautico Recife
Nautico Recife
1–0
Ceara
Ceara

Wednesday, 19 August 2026 at 00:30 UTC

🏟 Estádio dos Aflitos · Recife

🎯 Final analysis grade

5/10

✓ Got right: The analysis correctly picked the winner and identified that Náutico would have more initiative, territory and attacking volume at the Aflitos. It was also right to distinguish home favoritism from the possibility of Ceará posing a threat in transition.

✗ Missed: The main error was overestimating the impact of the supposed defensive absences and turning a low-scoring statistical foundation into an expectation of an open game. The 1–0 scoreline indicates that Náutico’s territorial control did not lead to end-to-end exchanges or a Ceará goal.

Post-match self-grade of our pre-match analysis (1-10). Feeds the system’s learning loop.

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥🔥🔥
Nautico Recife2.18 · 43%
X2.98 · 31%
Ceara3.60 · 26%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Both teams to score
Yes50%
No50%

Odds movement ±4pts

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Nautico Recife· 11º · 37Pts
4-2-3-192% usage
👔 Hélio dos Anjos · Brazil
In charge since 2025 · 67
Experience: 19y · 17 clubs
Ex-clubs: CRB, Paysandu, Ponte Preta
W-D-L: 9-7-9
Ceara· 16º · 31Pts
4-2-3-159% usage
👔 Leonardo Condé · Brazil
In charge since 2024 · 47
Experience: 16y · 15 clubs
Ex-clubs: Vitória, Sampaio Corrêa, Novorizontino
W-D-L: 7-7-11

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Nautico Recife
13 / 14 games
Ceara
1.35
xG
0.99
6.3
Corners
6.4
Points/game
1.15
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
52%
Clean sheets
19%
59%
Possession
53%
16.6
Shots
14.5

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

Nautico RecifeLWWDWD
  • 2026-09-09 · (A) 1–2 vs America Mineiro
  • 2026-09-03 · (H) 1–0 vs Botafogo SP
  • 2026-08-28 · (H) 2–1 vs Athletic Club
  • 2026-08-23 · (A) 1–1 vs São Bernardo
  • 2026-08-19 · (H) 1–0 vs Ceara
CearaLWLWLL
  • 2026-09-10 · (A) 1–2 vs Atletico Goianiense
  • 2026-09-05 · (H) 2–1 vs Sport Recife
  • 2026-08-30 · (A) 0–2 vs Vila Nova
  • 2026-08-22 · (H) 2–1 vs Londrina
  • 2026-08-19 · (A) 0–1 vs Nautico Recife

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

A. Filho

6.4
Cards/game
1.4
Goals/game
20%
BTTS
0
Pens/game

Referee averages in this competition · 5 games · FootyStats

✅ Confirmed lineups · Nautico Recife [4-2-3-1]

API-Football · 19 Aug 2026, 13:42 UTC

  1. 1Muriel Becker
  2. 93Reginaldo
  3. 15Leo Indio
  4. 23Igor Fernandes
  5. 6Ryan Carlos
  6. 8Wenderson
  7. 41Samuel Felix
  8. 72Derek
  9. 10Jean Carlos
  10. 24B. Borasi
  11. 19Kauan Maranhao

✅ Confirmed lineups · Ceara [4-4-2]

API-Football · 19 Aug 2026, 13:42 UTC

  1. 1Richard
  2. 2R. Ramos
  3. 4Luiz Otavio
  4. 71Gabriel Rocha
  5. 6Savio
  6. 40Melk
  7. 18Julio Cesar
  8. 81Joao Gabriel
  9. 20M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
  10. 7R. Lopez
  11. 99Lucca

⚡ Key intel: favorable & unfavorable factors

Nautico Recife

Ceara

AI-curated from all collected news: only facts likely to affect the result.

📰 Recent news

  • C★★★★★
  • C★★★★
  • C★★★★
  • C★★★★
  • C★★★★
  • C★★★
  • B★★★
  • C★★★

Only intel rated ≥3★ impact is shown.

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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