Spain
Spain
vs
Belgium
Belgium

Friday, 10 July 2026 at 19:00 UTC

🏟 SoFi Stadium · Los Angeles

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥🔥
Spain1.63 · 57%
X3.85 · 24%
Belgium5.10 · 18%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.553%
Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
No48%

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

🎯 Score model

Spain
1.6 - 1.1
Belgium
Projected total: 2.7Over 2.5: 50%Most likely score: 1-1
1-1
12%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
2-0
9%
0-1
7%
ModelMarket
49%
57%Spain
25%
24%X
26%
18%Belgium

Poisson model over season goal averages — reference only, not betting advice. Small samples lower accuracy.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Spain· 1º · 7Pts
4-3-367% usage
👔 Fernando Hierro · Spain
In charge since 2018 · 57
Experience: 10y · 2 clubs
Ex-clubs: Real Oviedo
W-D-L: 2-1-0
Belgium· 1º · 5Pts
4-2-3-1100% usage
👔 R. Garcia · France
In charge since 2025 · 61
Experience: 25y · 10 clubs
Ex-clubs: Napoli, Al Nassr, Lyon
W-D-L: 1-2-0

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Spain
3 / 3 games
Belgium
2.41
xG
1.65
8.7
Corners
3.3
2.5
Points/game
2
50%
Over 2.5
50%
0%
BTTS
75%
100%
Clean sheets
25%
69%
Possession
59%
24
Shots
19

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

SpainWWWWD
  • 2026-07-06 · (A) 1–0 vs Portugal
  • 2026-07-02 · (H) 3–0 vs Austria
  • 2026-06-27 · (A) 1–0 vs Uruguay
  • 2026-06-21 · (H) 4–0 vs Saudi Arabia
  • 2026-06-15 · (H) 0–0 vs Cape Verde Islands
BelgiumWWWDD
  • 2026-07-07 · (A) 4–1 vs USA
  • 2026-07-01 · (H) 3–2 vs Senegal
  • 2026-06-27 · (A) 5–1 vs New Zealand
  • 2026-06-21 · (H) 0–0 vs Iran
  • 2026-06-15 · (H) 1–1 vs Egypt

Official lineups drop ~40 min before kickoff.

📰 Recent news

  • C★★★★
    Belgium sends a warning to United States on Folarin Balogun

    USMNT striker Folarin Balogun, suspended after a red card vs Bosnia, has been cleared by FIFA to play Monday's Round of 16 vs Belgium citing Article 27 (disciplinary code suspension), sparking controversy after President Trump's call to FIFA President Infantino. Belgium has formally contested Balogun's eligibility and warned of "all further actions open," including potential Court of Arbitration for Sport appeal, but Balogun remains eligible as of now.

  • C★★★★
    FIFA dismisses Belgium appeal over Folarin Balogun ban decision

    Folarin Balogun named in USMNT starting lineup for Round of 16 vs Belgium after FIFA dismissed Belgium's appeal; Balogun's one-game suspension was suspended on probation following a red card against Bosnia, with U.S. President Trump's intervention in the decision drawing scrutiny. Belgium coach Rudi Garcia contested the decision's integrity, stating it was unprecedented in World Cup history, while USMNT coach Pochettino defended the suspension as correct and argued the U.S. faced the true punishment by playing down a man.

  • C★★★★
    Técnico da Bélgica explica por que barrou De Bruyne e Doku contra os Estados Unidos

    Belgium manager Rudi Garcia benched De Bruyne and Doku against USA, replacing them with Lukébakio and Raskin; Garcia stated this XI was "more adequate" for the team's tactical plan, emphasizing balance, physicality, and defensive solidity. The lineup shows tactical adjustment for the knockout stage, with established starters dropped for a more balanced formation.

  • C★★★
    World Cup LIVE: USA vs Belgium updates as Folarin Balogun gets new punishment after FIFA threat

    Norway, England's World Cup quarter-final opponents on Saturday, have been hit by a sickness bug that has worsened ahead of their clash in Miami. England's Jarell Quansah is ruled out of the same fixture after a straight red card against Mexico, though England are considering appealing the decision.

  • C★★★
    Balogun starts for USMNT vs. Belgium as World Cup row rumbles on: Live updates

    Balogun started for USMNT vs. Belgium in a Round of 16 match but was limited by Belgian defense and lack of service, showing flashes of movement but remaining largely ineffective; Christian Pulisic exited in the 59th minute with a calf injury as USA lost 4-1 and was eliminated from the 2026 World Cup.

  • C★★★
    Spaniens målvakt Unai Simon med VM-rekord – håller nollan längst av alla

    Spain's goalkeeper Unai Simon set a World Cup record by keeping a clean sheet for 519 consecutive minutes, surpassing Walter Zenga's 1990 record of 517 minutes. Simon last conceded in the 51st minute against Japan in 2022; Spain advanced to the Round of 16 with a 3-0 win over Austria where Austria failed to register a single shot on target.

Only intel rated ≥3★ impact is shown.

FAQ

What time is Spain x Belgium?

Spain x Belgium kicks off on 10 July 2026 at 19:00 UTC, in the FIFA World Cup.

Where to watch Spain x Belgium live?

Spain x Belgium, in the FIFA World Cup, is broadcast live — check the TV channels and streaming services holding the rights in your country.

What is the prediction for Spain x Belgium?

Most likely score: 1-1.

What are the probable lineups for Spain x Belgium?

Official lineups drop ~40 min before kickoff.

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net