Novorizontino vs Vila Nova: result, lineups & analysis — Brasileirão Série B

Novorizontino
Novorizontino
2–1
Vila Nova
Vila Nova

Friday, 26 June 2026 at 22:00 UTC

🏟 Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi · Novo Horizonte

🏁 Post-match review

Novorizontino claimed a 2-1 victory over Vila Nova in the Brasileirão Série B, securing all three points at home. The result sees the hosts come out on top in what was a closely contested Série B fixture.

Expectation:The outcome aligned with the pre-match market, which made Novorizontino the moderate favourites at a 51.7% implied probability. Not a major upset, but Vila Nova did make it competitive before ultimately falling short.

A valuable home win for Novorizontino that will boost their Série B campaign, while Vila Nova will be disappointed to lose a game they stayed in until the end.

Based on the final score and pre-match analysis (no in-match events).

📊 Market expectation (1X2)

Market heat 🔥🔥
Novorizontino1.80 · 52%
X3.25 · 29%
Vila Nova4.75 · 20%

De-vigged implied probability · for analysis only, not betting advice.

📐 Statistical score reference

Novorizontino
1.5 - 1.1
Vila Nova
Projected total: 2.6Over 2.5: 49%
ModelMarket
46%
Novorizontino
26%
X
28%
Vila Nova

Poisson reference based only on season goal averages. It is not the full-analysis prediction or betting advice.

🎓 Coaches / Formations

Novorizontino· 2º · 49Pts
4-2-3-176% usage
👔 Enderson Moreira · Brazil
In charge since 2025 · 54
Experience: 16y · 16 clubs
Ex-clubs: Avaí, Sporting Cristal, Sport Recife
W-D-L: 12-7-6
Vila Nova· 5º · 44Pts
4-2-3-188% usage
👔 Rafael Lacerda
In charge since 2025
Experience: 6y · 6 clubs
Ex-clubs: Barra, ABC, Amazonas
W-D-L: 13-5-8

🔬 Advanced data (averages)

Novorizontino
17 / 16 games
Vila Nova
1.65
xG
1.09
6.2
Corners
5.2
1.81
Points/game
1.74
59%
Over 2.5
41%
52%
BTTS
41%
33%
Clean sheets
33%
48%
Possession
50%
15.4
Shots
13.3

Per-game averages in this competition · FootyStats / API-Football

📈 Recent form

NovorizontinoWWWWWD
  • 2026-09-09 · (A) 3–1 vs Botafogo SP
  • 2026-09-05 · (H) 3–1 vs Avai
  • 2026-08-28 · (H) 2–1 vs Sport Recife
  • 2026-08-24 · (A) 4–1 vs Athletic Club
  • 2026-08-20 · (H) 3–0 vs America Mineiro
Vila NovaWLWDWW
  • 2026-09-10 · (H) 2–0 vs Goias
  • 2026-09-04 · (A) 0–5 vs Athletic Club
  • 2026-08-30 · (H) 2–0 vs Ceara
  • 2026-08-23 · (A) 0–0 vs Operario-PR
  • 2026-08-19 · (H) 6–0 vs Ponte Preta

🆚 Head-to-head

🧑‍⚖️ Referee

Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil

4.8
Cards/game
3.11
Goals/game
56%
BTTS

Referee averages in this competition · 27 games · PK Sport

✅ Confirmed lineups · Novorizontino [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 4Patrick
  2. 6Luís Oyama
  3. 10Rômulo
  4. 11Robson
  5. 16Vinícius Paiva
  6. 18Léo Naldi
  7. 20Nilson Castrillón
  8. 26Gabriel Bahia
  9. 41Reidiney
  10. 66Maykon Jesus
  11. 93Jordi

✅ Confirmed lineups · Vila Nova [—]

sportmonks · 30 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC

  1. 1Helton Leite
  2. 3Tiago Pagnussat
  3. 5João Vieira
  4. 6Higor
  5. 7André Luis
  6. 8Willian Maranhão
  7. 11Ryan
  8. 20Nathan Camargo
  9. 31Dodô
  10. 38Caio Marcelo
  11. 99Janderson

🚑 Injuries / Absences

Novorizontino
  • outJoão Vitor Silva Dantas de Oliveira
Vila Nova

No confirmed absences.

Other matches this round

Analysis based on public data and market signals. For analysis only — not betting advice.

Data: Sportmonks / API-Football · pksport.net

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